Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.243692 1.522284 1.884234 2.405852 3.169946 4.307424 6.266864
2025-12-07 0.887749 1.188977 1.642219 2.432296 3.935058 7.170889 17.305889
2025-12-14 0.696274 0.980672 1.446896 2.364940 4.476943 10.786014 54.128189
2025-12-21 0.584729 0.853393 1.322166 2.336647 5.083119 16.582306 376.910614
2025-12-28 0.534300 0.809542 1.323248 2.561916 6.685402 36.562208 NaN
2026-01-04 0.485582 0.756021 1.286711 2.679988 8.240887 87.538148 NaN
2026-01-11 0.437968 0.694521 1.215590 2.669541 9.359941 220.765642 NaN
2026-01-18 0.394444 0.633241 1.129699 2.575207 9.975081 614.189462 NaN
2026-01-25 0.366990 0.598640 1.095209 2.626535 11.778796 65584.424426 NaN
2026-02-01 0.347528 0.576727 1.084758 2.756704 14.880180 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.324186 0.543626 1.040101 2.742540 16.855740 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.300500 0.507012 0.979965 2.642579 17.666610 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.287964 0.492898 0.975927 2.779223 23.237316 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.272326 0.470397 0.945920 2.792929 27.563020 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.255369 0.443274 0.898914 2.707764 29.499826 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.241740 0.422173 0.865150 2.672859 33.276678 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.237694 0.421867 0.889360 2.948350 56.599938 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.230342 0.413237 0.888031 3.093736 86.750656 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.220177 0.397140 0.861789 3.080842 108.885946 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.208827 0.377380 0.821717 2.964670 114.579441 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.201895 0.367436 0.810408 3.027829 171.703592 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.197129 0.362175 0.812856 3.188553 363.798016 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.189715 0.349958 0.791327 3.171027 541.631293 NaN NaN